Cosenza vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NUO
0 - 0
ACD
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
NUO
3 - 1
JUS
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
EMP
1 - 5
NUO
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
NUO
2 - 1
PIS
39%
28%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
NUO
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PIS
1 - 1
USA
35%
27%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
USA
3 - 2
SSS
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
ASS
1 - 0
USA
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
USA
0 - 0
ABN
49%
25%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
USA
2 - 2
SAM
8%
16%
76%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |