Cosenza vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 1
NUO
20%
24%
57%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 1
CAS
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ARZ
3 - 1
NUO
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -3 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NUO
3 - 0
VIG
77%
16%
7%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SOR
1 - 0
NUO
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 1
CHI
39%
28%
34%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MES
4 - 0
RAA
67%
20%
12%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SOR
0 - 1
RAA
79%
15%
6%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 1
ISC
23%
25%
52%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
RAA
64%
21%
14%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |