Cosenza vs Polisportiva A… analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACS
3 - 1
NUO
17%
23%
61%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
NUO
2 - 0
BAT
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LIC
0 - 0
NUO
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MES
2 - 1
NUO
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NUO
2 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Polisportiva A…
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
POL
0 - 0
MES
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
POL
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
POL
2 - 2
ACP
43%
25%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACI
3 - 0
POL
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
ASD
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |