Cosenza vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
NUO
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 3
USA
35%
26%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NUO
0 - 0
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
NUO
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
NUO
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
PAG
0 - 2
BIS
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
TRA
6 - 0
PAG
78%
16%
6%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 0
PAG
52%
26%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
REG
4 - 3
PAG
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
LEC
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |