Cosenza vs Nerostellati Frattese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
NUO
6 - 1
ISC
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FIA
3 - 3
NUO
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 0
USF
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 1
NUO
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
BEN
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nerostellati Frattese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
NFR
2 - 3
CAV
46%
23%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
NFR
1 - 0
USV
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 0
NFR
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
NFR
5 - 1
LEO
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
NFR
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |