Cosenza vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 1
NUO
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NUO
0 - 1
ASA
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 2
NUO
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NUO
2 - 0
GEL
67%
20%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 0
NUO
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 1
SSB
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
ASL
0 - 0
FCV
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 1
CAV
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TER
3 - 2
FCV
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 1
GEL
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |