Cosenza vs Castel Rigone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ARZ
3 - 1
NUO
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NUO
3 - 0
VIG
77%
16%
7%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SOR
1 - 0
NUO
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NUO
2 - 2
CAS
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
TUT
1 - 2
NUO
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
USP
52%
25%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MES
2 - 0
CAS
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
RAA
64%
21%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAS
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |