Cosenza vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2018 |
NUO
2 - 1
SIC
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NUO
4 - 2
TRA
22%
26%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 5
NUO
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NUO
0 - 3
REN
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SIC
0 - 1
NUO
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
REN
53%
26%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 0
MAT
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BIS
2 - 1
CAS
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
JUS
35%
28%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
REN
0 - 1
CAS
31%
29%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |