Nuorese Calcio vs Castiadas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nuorese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAS
2 - 0
NUO
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NUO
3 - 0
BUD
62%
20%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
NUO
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 2
ALB
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
OST
0 - 0
NUO
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castiadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
TRA
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAS
0 - 0
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
FLA
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AST
1 - 2
CAS
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |