National League North Playoff Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Nuneaton Town vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BLY
2 - 3
NUN
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NUN
1 - 1
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SOL
0 - 0
NUN
23%
25%
53%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
NUN
3 - 0
WOR
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BIS
0 - 3
NUN
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BOS
3 - 3
GUI
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 1
BIS
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
STA
0 - 3
GUI
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 2
ALT
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
GUI
21%
24%
54%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |