Nuneaton Town vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
NUN
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NUN
0 - 1
SOU
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
STO
3 - 2
NUN
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NUN
2 - 4
BRA
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 3
NUN
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 2
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 3
ALF
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 3
WOK
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GRI
4 - 2
ALF
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
ALF
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |