NuPS II vs Kirkkonummi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NuPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 7
NPA
34%
22%
44%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kirkkonummi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 4
FCK
8%
13%
78%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FIN
0 - 4
FCK
34%
21%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
3 - 1
FCE
23%
20%
58%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
3 - 0
SAP
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 1
SEX
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +2 |