Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
Numancia vs Zamora CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
SNT
0 - 0
NUM
42%
31%
28%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1992 |
ZAM
1 - 0
NUM
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
NUM
2 - 1
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
CFP
0 - 3
NUM
50%
29%
21%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
NUM
4 - 1
PON
52%
28%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Zamora CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
AST
0 - 3
ZAM
38%
29%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1992 |
ZAM
1 - 0
NUM
29%
27%
44%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +2 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
PON
1 - 0
ZAM
21%
28%
52%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ZAM
4 - 0
CFB
87%
10%
3%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
CDW
1 - 2
ZAM
44%
27%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |