Numancia vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
XER
1 - 1
NUM
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
NUM
3 - 1
POL
56%
26%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
CIU
1 - 0
NUM
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
NUM
3 - 0
UDL
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 0
NUM
42%
27%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
VAD
4 - 2
ALB
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ALA
1 - 2
VAD
37%
27%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
VAD
0 - 1
HER
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAD
22%
26%
53%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
VAD
2 - 2
CAD
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |