Numancia vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1994 |
NUM
1 - 0
CLU
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
GIM
6 - 0
NUM
33%
31%
37%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -3 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
NUM
2 - 0
RUN
66%
22%
12%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
BAR
2 - 0
NUM
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
NUM
1 - 0
IZA
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1994 |
UPL
1 - 3
RMC
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
ROB
1 - 2
UPL
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
UPL
1 - 1
GET
39%
30%
31%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
ARO
5 - 0
UPL
38%
28%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
UPL
3 - 1
RCF
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |