Numancia vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
LEG
0 - 1
NUM
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
NUM
0 - 0
UDL
23%
29%
49%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
ATB
4 - 2
NUM
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1998 |
NUM
0 - 0
EIB
35%
32%
33%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
SEV
1 - 0
NUM
81%
14%
6%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
LLE
5 - 2
UDL
43%
27%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
EIB
1 - 0
LLE
44%
30%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
LLE
2 - 0
ALB
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1998 |
CDT
1 - 0
LLE
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
LLE
0 - 2
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |