Numancia vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
NUM
4 - 0
CDB
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
TER
1 - 1
NUM
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
NUM
1 - 0
EIB
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 2
NUM
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
NUM
2 - 2
ZAR
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 4
MUR
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
CDB
0 - 1
UDL
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 1
LEV
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
TER
0 - 1
UDL
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
UDL
0 - 1
CCF
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |