Numancia vs UD Orensana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
16%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
GIM
1 - 1
NUM
78%
13%
9%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
NUM
1 - 0
GIR
55%
20%
25%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
SPO
6 - 1
NUM
84%
10%
6%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
NUM
5 - 0
RCF
45%
21%
35%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
RAC
5 - 0
NUM
90%
7%
4%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
UD Orensana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ORE
2 - 0
UES
61%
19%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
SAB
5 - 2
ORE
88%
8%
4%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
ORE
2 - 3
RCF
48%
21%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
ORE
0 - 1
LLE
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ORE
1 - 2
SDE
72%
15%
13%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |