Numancia vs UD Llanera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
NUM
1 - 0
BER
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
NUM
1 - 0
COX
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COM
2 - 2
NUM
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
NUM
0 - 0
OSA
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 2
NUM
27%
26%
46%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
UD Llanera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
COX
1 - 0
UDL
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UDL
1 - 1
AVI
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDG
0 - 1
UDL
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UDL
4 - 3
RAC
27%
25%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 2
ESC
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |