Numancia vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
SSC
2 - 0
NUM
64%
23%
13%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
NUM
0 - 1
BEA
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
LEM
2 - 1
NUM
47%
29%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
NUM
0 - 3
LOG
60%
25%
16%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 1993 |
BAS
0 - 2
NUM
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
TUD
1 - 1
CLU
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
GIM
3 - 1
TUD
49%
28%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
TUD
2 - 2
RUN
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
BAR
3 - 2
TUD
69%
20%
11%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
TUD
4 - 0
IZA
52%
27%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |