Numancia vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
16.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
HUE
2 - 0
NUM
76%
14%
11%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
NUM
1 - 1
SDE
70%
16%
15%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
CDS
5 - 0
NUM
76%
13%
11%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
NUM
2 - 0
OLI
68%
16%
16%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
TAU
1 - 0
NUM
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
CDS
3 - 1
TUD
81%
11%
8%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
TUD
6 - 2
OLI
59%
19%
23%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +4 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
TAU
0 - 1
TUD
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
TUD
4 - 0
SAG
86%
8%
5%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
UBC
2 - 2
TUD
72%
15%
13%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |