Numancia vs Tudelano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
AZA
4 - 0
NUM
59%
19%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
NUM
4 - 3
SDS
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
TUD
2 - 2
NUM
29%
22%
49%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
NUM
1 - 2
ACE
89%
8%
4%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
NUM
3 - 2
AZA
66%
18%
16%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
TUD
1 - 2
HUE
55%
19%
26%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
ACE
5 - 0
TUD
79%
12%
10%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
TUD
2 - 2
NUM
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
SDE
2 - 2
TUD
78%
13%
10%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
CDM
2 - 2
TUD
61%
18%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |