Numancia vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 1
UDL
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
NUM
0 - 2
EIB
45%
26%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
NUM
2 - 3
TUD
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
NUM
0 - 2
ATM
14%
24%
62%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 1
BUR
85%
12%
3%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 1
CDT
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
CDT
2 - 1
EIB
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 0
UDL
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 1
SPO
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
SDT
0 - 3
CDT
7%
18%
75%
|
68 | 26 | 42 | 0 |