Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2002 |
NUM
1 - 2
LEV
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
LEG
0 - 1
NUM
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
NUM
4 - 0
RCF
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
EIB
2 - 0
NUM
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NUM
1 - 0
RJA
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2002 |
SPO
3 - 1
REC
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
SLA
1 - 2
SPO
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
SPO
0 - 1
LEV
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
LEG
0 - 2
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
SPO
5 - 3
RCF
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |