Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-1
Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
NUM
4 - 5
CUL
53%
27%
20%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
LEM
1 - 1
NUM
26%
29%
45%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
RAC
0 - 1
NUM
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
NUM
1 - 1
UPL
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
RSO
3 - 1
NUM
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
SPO
3 - 2
SLA
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1996 |
COM
1 - 0
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1995 |
SPO
1 - 3
VCF
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
FCB
1 - 0
SPO
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
SPO
5 - 0
ECI
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |