Numancia vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
OSA
4 - 1
NUM
80%
12%
8%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
NUM
1 - 1
SAB
40%
24%
37%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
BAD
3 - 1
NUM
84%
10%
7%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
NUM
3 - 0
ORE
65%
17%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
GIM
4 - 1
NUM
78%
13%
9%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
SPO
3 - 1
SGL
81%
11%
8%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
SPO
6 - 1
OSA
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
SAB
2 - 4
SPO
58%
20%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
SPO
3 - 1
BAD
76%
13%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
ORE
1 - 1
SPO
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |