Numancia vs SP Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
BEN
2 - 1
NUM
31%
28%
41%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
NUM
3 - 0
VEL
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
MED
0 - 0
NUM
48%
26%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
NUM
2 - 0
CAB
51%
25%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
VAL
1 - 1
NUM
65%
21%
14%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SP Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
SPH
1 - 0
SEG
39%
27%
35%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
CFB
0 - 0
SPH
53%
26%
21%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
SPH
1 - 1
LER
33%
27%
41%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
CAC
2 - 2
SPH
48%
27%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
SPH
0 - 2
PON
55%
24%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |