Numancia vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
BAR
3 - 1
NUM
88%
7%
4%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
NUM
6 - 0
GIR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +3 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
ARO
2 - 1
NUM
59%
19%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
RCF
4 - 0
NUM
87%
8%
5%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
NUM
2 - 1
RAC
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
SDE
3 - 2
SPO
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
OSA
4 - 1
SDE
77%
13%
10%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
SDE
5 - 2
SAB
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
SDE
5 - 3
BAD
27%
21%
52%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SDE
0 - 1
ORE
43%
24%
34%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |