Numancia vs CE Sabadell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 1
NUM
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NUM
2 - 1
HER
37%
28%
34%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUM
66%
21%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NUM
0 - 0
CAR
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
NUM
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SAB
1 - 4
VAD
12%
23%
65%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ALM
3 - 0
SAB
82%
14%
4%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SAB
0 - 0
ELC
15%
25%
60%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
4 - 1
SAB
76%
18%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAB
2 - 2
MUR
21%
26%
52%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |