Numancia vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 0
NUM
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
NUM
2 - 1
SEV
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
CCF
1 - 1
NUM
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
RAC
2 - 0
NUM
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
NUM
0 - 2
RSO
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 1
MLL
54%
23%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
VCF
0 - 0
ZAR
66%
21%
14%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
ZAR
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 0
ZAR
32%
28%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ZAR
3 - 0
SEV
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |