Numancia vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
LLE
6 - 2
NUM
84%
10%
6%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
NUM
4 - 0
SDE
65%
17%
18%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
BAR
3 - 1
NUM
88%
7%
4%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
NUM
6 - 0
GIR
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +3 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
ARO
2 - 1
NUM
59%
19%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
ZAR
2 - 2
SPO
53%
21%
26%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
OSA
1 - 0
ZAR
53%
20%
27%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SAB
59%
19%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
BAD
2 - 4
ZAR
60%
18%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
ZAR
3 - 0
ORE
84%
10%
6%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |