Numancia vs Real Valladolid Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
OSA
0 - 0
NUM
48%
28%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1993 |
CFP
2 - 0
NUM
42%
28%
29%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
NUM
5 - 1
AND
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
CDT
3 - 4
NUM
24%
28%
49%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
NUM
2 - 0
TUD
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
VAL
0 - 1
CLU
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1993 |
GIM
3 - 0
VAL
53%
26%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
VAL
1 - 0
RUN
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
BAR
1 - 1
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
VAL
0 - 3
IZA
52%
27%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |