Numancia vs Real Sociedad B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1994 |
CLU
0 - 2
NUM
21%
28%
51%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
NUM
2 - 0
IZA
69%
21%
11%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1994 |
RAY
2 - 2
NUM
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
HUL
2 - 4
NUM
18%
28%
54%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
NUM
0 - 0
UDC
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1994 |
RSO
0 - 0
GER
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
AMU
1 - 2
RSO
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1994 |
RSO
1 - 1
BEA
45%
28%
27%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
CFP
1 - 0
RSO
58%
24%
18%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
RSO
0 - 3
RUN
44%
29%
27%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |