Numancia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
LOG
2 - 2
NUM
71%
16%
14%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
NUM
3 - 1
OSA
59%
19%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
GIM
2 - 0
NUM
85%
9%
6%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
NUM
2 - 2
ZAR
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
ORE
2 - 0
NUM
55%
21%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
OVI
4 - 0
UES
73%
15%
12%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SAB
6 - 2
OVI
49%
22%
30%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
OVI
5 - 0
RCF
70%
16%
14%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SGL
4 - 0
OVI
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
OVI
3 - 1
BAD
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |