Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-4
Numancia vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
ZAR
1 - 5
NUM
28%
30%
42%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
NUM
2 - 1
TUD
69%
20%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
ALA
2 - 2
NUM
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
SSC
1 - 0
NUM
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
NUM
3 - 0
ALA
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
RAY
1 - 1
CDO
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
MLL
2 - 0
RAY
60%
23%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
RAY
1 - 0
CDB
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
MER
1 - 0
RAY
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
RAY
3 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |