Numancia vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 2
NUM
80%
12%
8%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
OSA
4 - 2
NUM
85%
9%
5%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SPO
9 - 0
NUM
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
NUM
3 - 2
OSA
48%
21%
31%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SAB
6 - 2
NUM
92%
6%
3%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
RAC
3 - 2
SPO
58%
19%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
OSA
0 - 2
RAC
47%
22%
32%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
RAC
7 - 2
SAB
64%
18%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
BAD
2 - 3
RAC
50%
21%
29%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
RAC
4 - 1
ORE
91%
6%
3%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |