Numancia vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
SGL
5 - 2
NUM
63%
19%
19%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
NUM
1 - 2
BAD
59%
19%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
HUE
6 - 1
NUM
71%
16%
13%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
NUM
3 - 4
OVI
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
LOG
2 - 2
NUM
71%
16%
14%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
RCF
3 - 0
UES
55%
20%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SAB
2 - 0
RCF
73%
15%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
RCF
3 - 0
SGL
55%
20%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
BAD
5 - 0
RCF
58%
19%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
RCF
2 - 3
HUE
61%
19%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |