Numancia vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
RAC
5 - 0
NUM
90%
7%
4%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
NUM
1 - 3
SGL
66%
17%
17%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
NUM
2 - 0
SPO
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
OSA
4 - 1
NUM
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
NUM
1 - 1
SAB
40%
24%
37%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
RCF
2 - 5
SPO
40%
23%
37%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
OSA
2 - 0
RCF
59%
18%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
RCF
0 - 0
SAB
51%
22%
27%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
RCF
0 - 2
OVI
32%
22%
46%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
RCF
4 - 0
BAD
63%
17%
20%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |