Numancia vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
AND
1 - 2
NUM
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
NUM
2 - 0
CDT
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
TUD
0 - 2
NUM
38%
29%
33%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
NUM
1 - 0
SSC
42%
30%
28%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
BEA
1 - 1
NUM
38%
30%
33%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
CFP
0 - 0
CLU
38%
29%
34%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
GIM
1 - 2
CFP
56%
26%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
CFP
0 - 0
RUN
61%
23%
17%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
BAR
1 - 1
CFP
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
CFP
0 - 0
IZA
46%
29%
25%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |