Numancia vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
27.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
ALA
3 - 0
NUM
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
NUM
1 - 0
LLE
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
LEG
0 - 1
NUM
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
NUM
0 - 0
UDL
23%
29%
49%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
ATB
4 - 2
NUM
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1998 |
CDO
0 - 0
LLE
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
UDL
2 - 0
CDO
83%
12%
6%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
CDO
1 - 0
EIB
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
ALB
1 - 0
CDO
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
CDO
0 - 0
CDT
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |