Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-2
Numancia vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 3
GRA
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CDT
1 - 1
NUM
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 0
FCB
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ZAR
3 - 0
NUM
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NUM
5 - 1
ALB
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 0
MAL
95%
4%
1%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MAL
0 - 2
LEG
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SEV
2 - 0
MAL
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MAL
3 - 3
ATH
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
VCF
5 - 0
MAL
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |