Numancia vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
NUM
3 - 2
RMC
56%
24%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
MAL
5 - 4
NUM
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
NUM
0 - 3
REC
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
GIM
1 - 0
NUM
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALB
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
LOR
0 - 0
POL
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
LEV
0 - 0
LOR
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 2
LLE
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 0
EIB
60%
23%
16%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
VAD
1 - 1
LOR
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |