Numancia vs Lemona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
8.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
BAR
0 - 3
NUM
38%
27%
34%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
NUM
2 - 0
OSA
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
LOG
0 - 0
NUM
22%
28%
50%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
NUM
2 - 0
ALA
42%
29%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
GER
0 - 1
NUM
19%
28%
53%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
LEM
1 - 2
GER
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
AMU
2 - 2
LEM
49%
27%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
LEM
1 - 1
BEA
39%
30%
31%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
LEM
0 - 2
CFP
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
RUN
0 - 1
LEM
60%
25%
16%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |