Numancia vs Lemona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
11%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1990 |
NUM
1 - 3
CAS
22%
27%
51%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
SNT
2 - 1
NUM
48%
28%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
NUM
0 - 1
CDU
62%
24%
14%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
NUM
2 - 1
ZAR
41%
30%
30%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
MIR
1 - 0
NUM
51%
27%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
LEM
1 - 0
MIR
53%
26%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
LEM
1 - 2
BAR
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
FCA
1 - 1
LEM
55%
27%
18%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
LEM
1 - 2
RSO
38%
30%
32%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEM
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |