Numancia vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
SPB
1 - 2
NUM
38%
28%
33%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
NUM
0 - 0
VAL
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
CFP
1 - 1
NUM
24%
29%
48%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
NUM
1 - 0
BEA
67%
22%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
BAR
2 - 0
NUM
32%
29%
40%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
IZA
0 - 1
AVI
37%
31%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
CUL
2 - 0
IZA
66%
22%
13%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
IZA
1 - 1
LEM
51%
29%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
UPL
1 - 0
IZA
51%
28%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
IZA
1 - 0
RSO
44%
30%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |