Numancia vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
NUM
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 1
ELC
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
NUM
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NUM
2 - 0
RAC
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 0
NUM
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
4 - 0
MIR
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
REC
1 - 3
GIR
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 1
HUE
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
4 - 0
GIR
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 0
CCF
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |