Numancia vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
UDL
0 - 0
NUM
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NUM
3 - 0
PON
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 2
NUM
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
NUM
3 - 3
VAD
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BET
4 - 1
NUM
72%
19%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
GIR
0 - 2
FCB
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
GIR
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
GIR
4 - 2
XER
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 4
GIR
58%
24%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
GIR
1 - 3
RAY
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |