Numancia vs Getafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
OVI
1 - 1
NUM
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
NUM
2 - 2
COM
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
RCF
1 - 0
NUM
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2002 |
NUM
1 - 0
CEL
26%
26%
49%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
NUM
1 - 0
CDT
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Getafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
GET
0 - 1
CDB
51%
27%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
TER
1 - 1
GET
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
GET
4 - 2
EIB
41%
31%
28%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
GET
1 - 2
VAD
20%
26%
54%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ALM
1 - 1
GET
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |