Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-4
Numancia vs UE Figueres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
NUM
1 - 0
LEM
62%
25%
13%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1992 |
NUM
4 - 0
SDA
78%
15%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
FCA
1 - 2
NUM
64%
23%
13%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
SDA
0 - 0
NUM
31%
28%
42%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
NUM
0 - 1
BEA
75%
17%
8%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
UE Figueres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
COM
1 - 0
FIG
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
FIG
1 - 3
CDB
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
CAS
4 - 1
FIG
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
FIG
3 - 0
SAB
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1992 |
FIG
1 - 1
CAD
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +2 |