Numancia vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
ALB
3 - 1
NUM
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
NUM
2 - 1
LEG
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
SPO
1 - 2
NUM
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
XER
2 - 2
NUM
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
NUM
1 - 0
ELC
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
POL
1 - 0
CDB
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
TER
2 - 0
POL
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
POL
0 - 0
EIB
52%
28%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
POL
2 - 0
ALM
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
ZAR
0 - 0
POL
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |